··
Vehicle Driving Cost Calculator

Calculate the True Cost of Driving Your Vehicle

An independent research tool that calculates driving costs using official U.S. government data. Fuel economy ratings and fuel prices sourced exclusively from the EPA via FuelEconomy.gov.

01 Vehicle
02 Your Numbers
--
City MPG
--
Hwy MPG
--
Comb MPG
Vehicle to Compare
Calculator data source: FuelEconomy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy & Environmental Protection Agency)
All figures are estimates for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, legal, or purchasing advice. Actual costs vary based on driving habits, location, vehicle condition, and market factors. This calculator's vehicle and fuel price data comes exclusively from the U.S. EPA via FuelEconomy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy and Environmental Protection Agency). Our articles draw on additional official sources—see our full list of data sources.
03 Estimated Driving Cost
Total estimated fuel cost
--
Click any value to adjust parameters.
Per Mile--
Per Month--
Per Year--
Per Day--
04 Fuel Cost Timeline
Fig. 1 -- Radial cost timeline: each petal represents annual fuel expenditure with cumulative spiral tracking total cost growth over ownership period
05 Cost Sensitivity
Driving Mix Impact
Fig. 2 -- Total fuel cost as city/highway driving ratio varies from 0% to 100%
Fuel Price Scenarios
Fig. 3 -- Cumulative cost under varying fuel price levels over ownership period
06 Vehicle Efficiency Profile
Fig. 4 -- Fuel efficiency spectrum: city, highway, and your effective rating
EPA Fuel Economy Score
--
--
1
10
EPA Greenhouse Gas Rating
--
--
1
10
EPA CO₂ Tailpipe Emissions
--
grams per mile
0 g/miLowAverageHigh
EPA-measured direct tailpipe emissions
Fig. 7 — This vehicle's CO₂ emissions per mile against 12 EPA vehicle classes (DOE/EPA MY2026 Fuel Economy Guide class averages)
Where You Rank
Fig. 8 — Fuel cost per mile (at fixed reference prices) across 1,430 real MY2026 vehicles from DOE/EPA's official Fuel Economy Guide, grouped by body-style class. Boxes show the 25th-75th percentile, whiskers the 5th-95th, the white tick the median. Your class is highlighted with your vehicle marked at its actual cost/mile.
07 Yearly Cost Table
08 EPA Comparison
09 Cost Uncertainty Historical Bootstrap Simulation
Fig. 5 — Monte Carlo simulation of cumulative fuel cost, resampling 73 years of real annual U.S. gasoline price changes (1950–2023) across 1,500 simulated paths. Faint lines are a sample of 60 individual simulated paths; bands show the 10th–90th and 25th–75th percentile range at each year.
Outcome Distribution
Fig. 5b — Histogram of the 1,500 simulated final-year outcomes, with a Gaussian kernel density estimate (Silverman bandwidth, solid) against a Normal distribution of the same mean and variance (dashed). The blue diamond marks your calculator's flat-price estimate against the full simulated range — its position moves with your vehicle, years, miles, and mix.
Cumulative Probability
Fig. 5c — Empirical CDF (solid): the probability your cost is at or below any given value, against a Normal distribution of the same mean/variance (dashed). The blue diamond marks exactly where your calculator's own estimate falls on this curve.
Historical Price Trend
Fig. 5d — The full 74-year nominal gas price series (1950–2023, DOE AFDC), fit with an ordinary-least-squares trend on a semi-log axis (solid), with a 95% prediction interval band. The dashed region projects that same trend through your ownership window (shaded) and re-runs your vehicle's real fuel consumption against it — an extrapolation, not a forecast.
Tail Risk: Value at Risk & Expected Shortfall
Fig. 5e — Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR / Expected Shortfall, computed directly from your 1,500 simulated outcomes above — standard quantitative risk-management metrics: VaR is a loss threshold at a confidence level; CVaR is the average outcome given you're already past it, the harsher number VaR alone doesn't tell you.
10 What Actually Moves Your Number
Fig. 6 — Tornado diagram: the swing in total fuel cost from a ±20% change in each input, holding all others at your current settings. Bars are ranked by impact, largest at top.
Sources
  • Fuel Economy Data. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency & U.S. Department of Energy. “Fuel Economy Guide.” FuelEconomy.gov. https://fueleconomy.gov
  • Vehicle Data API. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy. “FuelEconomy.gov Web Services.” https://fueleconomy.gov/feg/ws/index.shtml
  • Fuel Prices. U.S. Department of Energy & U.S. EPA. Current fuel price data provided through the FuelEconomy.gov API. https://fueleconomy.gov/ws/rest/fuelprices
  • EPA Fuel Economy Ratings. U.S. EPA. Vehicle fuel economy ratings, greenhouse gas scores, and CO₂ tailpipe emissions measured under EPA test procedures (city, highway, combined). https://www.epa.gov/fuel-economy
  • EPA SmartWay & Emissions. U.S. EPA. Greenhouse gas rating (1 to 10 scale) and smog rating for all rated vehicles. https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles
  • Methodology. Combined MPG calculated using EPA harmonic mean formula: Combined = 1 / ((%City / CityMPG) + (%Highway / HighwayMPG)). All cost projections use current EPA fuel prices applied uniformly across ownership period. No inflation modeling or future price speculation is applied.
  • Cost Uncertainty Model. U.S. Department of Energy, Alternative Fuels Data Center. "Average Annual Retail Price of Gasoline, 1950–2023." The Monte Carlo simulation in Section 09 resamples the 73 real year-over-year percentage changes in this series (with replacement) to build a probability distribution of cumulative cost, rather than assuming a theoretical distribution shape or fixed scenario percentages. The accompanying trend regression, Value at Risk, and Conditional VaR figures are all computed from the same simulation output and the same source's full 74-year nominal price series.
  • Vehicle Ranking (Fig. 8). U.S. Department of Energy / U.S. EPA, "MY2026 Fuel Economy Guide" data file (Data/20260129 MY26 FE Guide for DOE - Release dates before 01-20-26 - CorrectionPublic.xlsx), covering 1,430 vehicle configurations across gasoline, hybrid, EV, and PHEV powertrains. Combined MPG/MPGe figures are converted to cost per mile using fixed reference fuel and electricity prices for a consistent, comparable basis across fuel types.
Disclaimer. All figures are estimates for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, legal, or purchasing advice. Actual costs vary based on driving habits, geographic location, vehicle condition, market conditions, and other factors. All data sourced exclusively from the U.S. EPA and U.S. DOE via FuelEconomy.gov. True Driving Cost makes no warranties regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of these estimates.